Drop In Inflation Rate Could Lead To Further Interest Rate Cuts November 20th, 2008
It was only three months ago when the financial news headlines were filled with stories about the soaring rate of inflation and how the headline rate had exceeded 5 per cent, more than two and a half times the Government’s target figure of 2 per cent, leading to speculation about an increase in the base rate of interest to compensate for this.
If proof were needed to show just how turbulent things are in the financial system at the moment, since that time, interest rates have fallen by 2 per cent and last week it was announced that the Consumer Prices Index rate of inflation had dropped to 4.5 per cent.
Many experts had predicted that inflation would start to reduce towards the end of this year and the fact that it has done and also looks set to fall further, has prompted people to think about the likely possibility of the Bank of England cutting the base rate of interest by a further 1 per cent before the end of the year.
For those borrowers with a tracker rate on their home owner loan or secured loan this could mean a monthly saving of around £83 on a typical loan of £100,000.
Although the base rate of interest has fallen dramatically to 3 per cent, the inter bank lending rate, LIBOR (London Inter Bank Offered Rate) still remains higher at 4.15 per cent, although this is continuing to fall, closing the gap with the base rate.
It will only be when LIBOR drops to a comparable level with the base rate that we should start to see some more competitive deals emerging on home owner loans and secured loans. These are likely to be the first type of loan to benefit from the rate cuts, but it could be some time before this filters through to the unsecured loan market.















